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elvafeng
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    • elvafeng hat den Blog-Artikel "give up prospects and elite pitcher money for Verlander" geschrieben. 26.07.2017

      The most fascinating name on the trade market is a 34 year old pitcher with a 4.54 ERA, the worst walk rate of his career, and a 65 million price tag million through 2019. By age, performance and money, that doesn’t sound like an attractive commodity. But this is Justin Verlander, the Cy Young Award runner up and league strikeout champion just last year, and owner of a 3.39 ERA in 16 postseason starts.

      The Detroit Tigers need such a major re boot that prospects and financial flexibility are more valuable to them than the next two months and two seasons of a pitcher aging through his mid 30s. The Dodgers, Astros, Cubs and Brewers are among the contending teams scouting Verlander, who has full veto rights over a trade.

      All had scouts monitoring his start Monday night in Detroit. They had to like what they saw. Verlander chucked 119 pitches over seven innings, punched out nine batters, hit 98.8 mph and gave up three runs in a no decision. The crowd at Comerica Park gave him a standing ovation, knowing there is a chance they never again get to see him pitch there in a Tigers uniform.

      For four straight seasons the eventual world http://www.dodgersfanaticsjersey.com/aj-ellis-jersey-c-14.html champion has picked up a pitcher at the trade deadline the 2013 Red Sox and 2014 Giants both added Jake Peavy, the 2015 Royals acquired Johnny Cueto, and the 2016 Cubs traded for Aroldis Chapman. Is Verlander the next final championship piece?

      Here’s the fundamental question teams must decide on whether to give up prospects and elite pitcher money for Verlander is he a World Series difference maker, or is his career about to fall off a cliff? To believe in Verlander is to believe that he is a true outlier.

      First, the good news about why Verlander may be a good short term bet he is healthy and still has superior arm strength and speed. There are absolutely no red flags with his fastball. Verlander’s average four seam velocity 95.63 is the highest it has been in seven years. The slugging percentage he has allowed off his fastball is a career low .347 . That’s a rather amazing data point for a mid 30s power pitcher in the greatest home run environment in baseball history.


      In fact, Verlander’s power profile hasn’t changed all that much as pitchers around him throw fewer and fewer fastballs. His fastball percentage has remained steady, falling between 56 and 58 . The life on his heater shows no deterioration. His average spin rate on the pitch this year 2,539 is about what it was last year 2,560 and better than it was in 2015 2 http://www.dodgersfanaticsjersey.com/alex-wood-jersey-c-13.html,491 , when forearm flyout in his loaded position getting the baseball too far from his head before his arm came around required offseason mechanical adjustments.

      The problem for Verlander this year is that he has lost consistent feel for his secondary pitches. Over the past few seasons he has worked so hard at throwing a slider/cutter hybrid that he has lost his changeup and curveball. He has allowed career worst slugging percentages on his change and curve this year.

      It would be easy to imagine Verlander responding to a trade and pennant race by pitching well the last two months of the season, particularly if he escapes the American League for the National League with its built in dead spot in the lineup where the pitcher hits. When you examine only how they fare against non pitchers, there’s virtually no difference between Jake Arrieta .257/.327/.443 and Verlander .257/.338/.411 this year.


      But the greatest risk with Verlander is that you’re investing prospects and a ton of money into not just the rest of this year, but also his age 35 and 36 seasons. There has been some talk that the Tigers might pick up the 9.3 million or so due him for the rest of this year. Okay, but that still leaves a 56 million bill over the next two years, and for what kind of pitcher?

      Look around baseball right now. Find me a qualified, conventional pitcher that old who is even league average.

      You can’t.

      Doesn’t exist.

      For the first time in 47 years, no conventional pitcher that excludes knuckleball pitcher R.A. Dickey 35 or older has thrown enough qualified innings with an adjusted OPS of at least 100. Fifteen years ago there were a dozen. Older aces, or even near aces, are extinct.

      Maybe Verlander is an exception. To find out, let’s examine what happened to pitchers like Verlander with his age and workload.

      Before the year is out, Verlander will reach 2,500 career innings. He will become the 22nd pitcher in the past 30 years to reach 2,500 innings through his age 34 season. Here’s what happened to the previous 21 pitchers in their age 35 and 36 seasons

      Remained Effective 7 CC Sabathia, Mark Buehrle, Tom Glavine, Greg Maddux, Roger Clemens, Dennis Eckersley, Jack Morris.

      Average 3 Livan Hernandez, Mike Mussina, Frank Tanana.

      Fell off a cliff 11 Roy Halladay, Javier Vazquez, Pedro Martinez, Andy Benes, Dwight Gooden, Fernando Valenzuela, Mark Langston, Dave Stieb, Bob Welch, Mike Moore, Frank Viola.

      This appears helpful http://www.dodgersfanaticsjersey.com/ross-stripling-jersey-c-12.html, showing Verlander is more likely to fall off a cliff than remain effective defined here as posting a OPS of at least 100 . But it’s not so helpful to compare Verlander to Eckersley, who by then was a closer, or soft tossers such as Glavine and Tanana.

      So consider only Verlander’s best comps power pitchers who piled up 2,500 innings through age 34. Only three power pitchers in the past 30 years held up well for the next two seasons Sabathia, who lost his four seam fastball and successfully has transitioned into a sinker/cutter pitcher; Clemens, who according to his trainer, Brian McNamee, turned to steroids at that age, and Morris, who is left as the one true best case comp for Verlander over the past three decades.

      Gone carlo Stanton? Seven Teams That Might Be Interested in Trading for Marlins Slugger
      Through age 34, Morris was 183–132 with a 3.66 ERA. Verlander is 178–113 with a 3.52 ERA. Over the next two years, 1990–91, Morris went 33 30 with a 3.97 ERA, never missed a start and threw more than 500 innings, including 36.1 for the Twins in their 1991 World Series run. Morris was the World Series MVP, the epitome of a championship difference maker.

      Scouting Verlander today is easy. He can help a contender. He can start one of the first three games of a postseason series for every contender. He would be particularly effective for a National League team that can provide him often with an extra day of rest between starts. That makes the Los Angeles Dodgers the perfect fit for Verlander, who already owns a home in Southern California. The back injury to Clayton Kershaw—he will miss four to six weeks, and then what?—makes the fit more likely.

      Here’s the catch being Kenta Maeda Jersey on the hook for two more seasons of Verlander at a price tag of 56 million is a scary proposition. It’s as scary as what happened to Halladay.

      Through his age 34 season, Halladay had a very similar career and workload 188–92, 3.23, 2,531 IP as Verlander 178–113, 3.52, 2,456 . Halladay was the Cy Young Award runner up at 34. He was one of the best pitchers in baseball, and a power pitcher at that.

      And then, all of a sudden, his arm simply gave out. Over his age 35 and 36 seasons, Halladay was 15 13 with a 5.15 ERA and only 218.1 innings pitched. He was done. He fell off the cliff at 35.

      The bottom line is Verlander is the right risk for the right team—a team pointed at winning the World Series this year, not just making the playoffs, and not considering a multi year “window” to win it all. He’s the best fit for a team that’s all in right now. He’s the best fit for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

    • elvafeng hat den Blog-Artikel "veryone knows what the Dodgers are doing" geschrieben. 26.07.2017

      The Los Angeles Dodgers watched their best pitcher walk off the field in pain Sunday afternoon and then saw his name pop up on the 10 day disabled list on Monday.

      Even that setback hasn’t slowed the team down.

      Los Angeles will look to win its third straight when it hosts the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday in the second game of a three game series at Dodger Stadium.

      The Dodgers beat the Atlanta Braves on a walk off single in the 10th inning Sunday after ace pitcher Clayton Kershaw departed early in the game with a back strain that will sideline him four to six weeks. Los Angeles then defeated the Twins 6 4 on a three run homer by Cody Bellinger in the eighth inning Monday.

      “We feel for Kersh, and he’s down obviously, which makes sense, but there’s nothing we can do http://www.angelsfanaticsjersey.com/carlos-perez-jersey-c-13.html,” Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said. “We have to get him back, which we will, and we have to try and win baseball games.”

      Minnesota will turn Tuesday to right hander Jose Berrios, who is coming off one of the best starts of his two year career, holding the New York Yankees to one run over 6 2/3 innings in a 6 1 victory on Wednesday. That outing came after his first slump of the season, when Berrios 9 3, 3.50 ERA won just one of his previous four starts after opening the season 7 1.

      Berrios Nick Tropeano Jersey, who has yet to pitch against the Dodgers in his career, has done well in two starts against NL West opponents this season. He threw 7 2/3 shutout innings and struck out a career high 11 in a 2 0 win against the Colorado Rockies on May 18, and he was the winning pitcher in a 3 2 victory against the San Francisco Giants on June 10, allowing two runs in 5 1/3 innings and striking out eight.

      Twins manager Paul Molitor hopes his team will be better adjusted to playing at Dodger Stadium on Tuesday.

      “For a lot of the guys, Monday was their first time in the park, and everyone knows what the Dodgers are doing this year,” Molitor said. “When the first pitch is thrown, you just try and go out and play.”

      Dodgers right hander Kenta Maeda 8 4, 4.23 ERA gets the start Tuesday in place of Brandon McCarthy, who went on the 10 day DL on Monday with a blister on his throwing hand. Maeda has never faced the Twins.

      Maeda will be trying to win three consecutive starts for the first time since last August http://www.angelsfanaticsjersey.com/jered-weaver-jersey-c-12.html, and he has pitched well against AL opponents of late. His past three wins have come against the AL a 4 0 win against the Los Angeles Angels on June 27, a 4 1 win against the Kansas City Royals on July 7, and a 9 1 victory against the Chicago White Sox on July 19. Maeda allowed two runs in a combined 17 innings in those outings.

      Twins shortstop Ehire Adrianza is the only Minnesota player who has faced Maeda, and he homered in one of two at bats against him as a member of the Giants last season.

      While the Dodgers were placing two starting pitchers on the disabled list Monday, the Twins were adding to their http://www.angelsfanaticsjersey.com/geovany-soto-jersey-c-14.html rotation. Minnesota acquired veteran left hander Jaime Garcia along with catcher Anthony Recker in a trade that sent pitching prospect Huascar Ynoa to the Atlanta Braves.

      Garcia is due to join the Twins on Tuesday, but he isn’t scheduled to start until Friday at Oakland.

    • elvafeng hat den Blog-Artikel "believe in each other just like we did in spring training" geschrieben. 26.07.2017

      On Sunday afternoon, Cleveland put up three hits and a run on J.A. Happ’s first four pitches. Happ’s location was fine , and nothing was hit particularly hard, but that’s the way baseball goes sometimes. Balls are going to fall in.

      But then Happ walked the bases loaded, before leaving a 2 2 fastball on the plate to Brandon Guyer, who drove it into the left centre field gap http://www.jaysfanaticsjersey.com/brett-cecil-jersey-c-2.html, cashing all those runners and putting Cleveland up by four before many fans had even taken their seats. That’s the pitch Happ would like to have back. Baseball goes like that sometimes, too.

      Considering Happ’s adversary on the day, Cleveland ace Corey Kluber, entered the game second in the American League with a 2.86 ERA and 2.51 FIP, and the fact Cleveland was 49 1 when Kluber gets four or more runs of support, the game took on an air of grim eventuality from that moment forward. The rest of the day was essentially a formality. It’s a lot like what the Toronto Blue Jays season will most likely resemble from this point on.

      Swept out of Ohio after three games in which they scored only five runs and allowed 23, tumbling down the American League standings after a 3 7 road trip out of the all star break, and slumping significantly in all facets of the game, there is little doubt now as to what will almost certainly come next for this club.

      A trade deadline sell off of any expiring contracts another team will pay a price for. A season shutdown for any player who suffers a serious injury from here on out. Playing time for young pieces in order to see what they can do against big league competition. And a long two months spent playing out the string.

      That’s the reality facing the Blue Jays after Sunday’s 8 1 battering in Cleveland, which dropped them to 10 games below .500. A post season appearance, which will likely remain a statistical possibility into September, is essentially inconceivable. The club’s remaining 64 games will likely be used to assess assets and regroup ahead of a 2018 season the team can only hope goes much better than this one has.

      “It’s been a frustrating trip. There’s been some games where we had a chance to win and couldn’t win them,” said Blue Jays manager John Gibbons. “Today was just a horse— game all the way around. I can’t describe it any better than that.”

      Kevin Pillar did give the Blue Jays faint hope Sunday, http://www.jaysfanaticsjersey.com/ra-dickey-jersey-c-4.html jumping all over a first pitch Kluber fastball in the third and crushing it 451 feet to left for his 11th homer of the year. But no other Blue Jay managed an extra base hit on the afternoon, as Kluber cruised through seven innings, striking out 14 in the process.

      Swinging and missing has been a theme lately, as the Blue Jays have now put up double digit strikeout totals in six of their last 10 games. Sloppy defence has also been a feature of the team’s recent play, and continued Sunday as several ground balls were misplayed, misjudged, misthrown, or merely missed.

      Really, the Blue Jays have been a mediocre outfit all month, as they now sit 7 12 in July with a 65 run differential. The record for the club’s worst ever run differential in a single month, set four decades ago when Toronto posted a 69 in July of 1977, is well within reach.

      “I didn’t know that number but, obviously, it doesn’t sound or look good, I’m sure, on paper,” said outfielder Jose Bautista. “But a loss is a loss. At the end of the day, it doesn’t really matter how many runs we lose by — you’re still losing. All we can control is the games that we have left. And try to play better. That’s all we can do.

      “We’ve lost some games that we wish we would’ve won. But we can’t dwell on it too much. All we can control is coming out in the following games and put in a better effort and hopefully get some better results.”

      Happ at least got through six innings http://www.jaysfanaticsjersey.com/kevin-pillar-jersey-c-24.html, saving a Blue Jays bullpen that is coming apart at the seams. Blue Jays relievers have thrown 80 innings this month, by far the most across MLB, and 359.2 over the course of the season , the fourth most in baseball.


      Bautista on trade rumours I don’t want to speculate on speculation
      Happ settled in over the middle innings, but allowed a fifth run in the fourth, and a two run bomb off the bat of Michael Brantley in the sixth. The seven runs he allowed set a season high and are the most he’s given up in an outing since May 16, 2016, a span of 36 starts.

      “I think for this one, the line’s the line. I’m responsible for that. I need to get better results,” Happ said. “Before that home run in the sixth, overall I was feeling pretty good about how I was throwing the ball — getting softer contact and pitching all right. But what matters is the line. I didn’t keep us close enough today.”

      With the Blue Jays now 44 54, and the July 31 non waiver trade deadline only a week away, the club should now spend the next week searching for opportunities to unload its expiring contracts in exchange for controllable assets.

      That includes starters Francisco Liriano and Marco Estrada who each hold ERAs north of 5.50 , relievers Joe Smith who pitched Sunday for the first time in five weeks and J.P. Howell who’s been on the DL for nearly two months , and Bautista who has a 95 wRC — suggesting he’s a below league average hitter — and can block any potential trade due to his 10 and 5 rights .

      As you can see, there isn’t a ton to work with there. But the Blue Jays would still be wise to try and get something — anything — for those players before they are able to depart for nothing this winter.

      Asked if he would accept a trade at the deadline, Bautista said he wasn’t yet ready to have that conversation.

      “I’m not willing to entertain that type of question right now. I don’t want to speculate on speculation. I’ll deal with it when the time comes, if it does come,” Bautista said. “I feel confident about the group that we have. I think we can make some special things happen form now to the end of the season.

      “I think every single guy in here is prepared to go ahead with the group that we’ve got together right now. We believe in each other just like we did in spring training. We’re looking forward to the challenge.”

      Toronto could also listen to offers for controllable veteran assets like Happ, Kendrys Morales, Steve Pearce and Justin Smoak. With the club’s front office insisting it intends to field a competitive team in 2018, those players are far less likely to be moved. But any player can be pried away for the right price.

      Asked if the trade deadline is on the http://www.jaysfanaticsjersey.com/jesse-chavez-jersey-c-3.html minds of players within the Blue Jays clubhouse, Happ struck a similar refrain to Bautista.

      “Not that I’ve seen or heard. I think we’ve all kind of been there, done that, and been a part of some of them. Whatever happens, happens, and we’ll keep playing,” Happ said. “No matter what [the media] think or what anybody thinks, we still have two months of games to play. So, whether [the media] thinks they count for something or whatever, we’re still going to play those games and we’re still going to compete and be professional.”

      The Blue Jays did make a minor move Sunday, sending double A first baseman Ryan McBroom to the New York Yankees for utility player Rob Refsnyder, who will join the triple A Buffalo Bisons. The 26 year old Refsnyder can play all over the diamond, and has hit well at triple A but struggled offensively over 94 games in the majors.

    • elvafeng hat den Blog-Artikel "Beane is interested in stockpiling his farm system and Lowrie could help" geschrieben. 26.07.2017

      The Oakland Athletics are in the midst of a rebuild, but Billy Beane still has a few trade chips remaining on the table.

      Jed Lowrie played exceptionally well in 2013 when arriving in Oakland via trade with the Houston Astros. http://www.athleticsfanaticsjersey.com/fernando-rodriguez-jersey-c-10.html Lowrie stayed healthy throughout his first stint with the A’s and finished with 15 HR and 75 RBI.

      He regressed a bit in 2014 and finished the year with 6 HR and 50 RBI. Lowrie opted to rejoin the Astros in 2015 before finding his way back to Oakland in 2016. The A’s have traded for Lowrie twice and seem to value the switch hitter.

      Last year was a bit of a disappointment for Lowrie, who struggled to stay healthy. He finished the year with just two home runs and 27 RBI. Lowrie’s name popped up in a few trade rumors last offseason, but the A’s decided to keep him around for another season.
      This year has been a complete turnaround for the A’s infielder. He is currently hitting .270/.336/.449 with 10 HR and 34 RBI. Billy Beane is expected to cut ties with the remaining veterans on the roster http://www.athleticsfanaticsjersey.com/sean-manaea-jersey-c-9.html, including Lowrie.

      We projected Lowrie, who is the final year of his three year deal, as being the team’s most likely candidate to be traded this summer. Lowrie has performed quite well this year, but the A’s currently have Franklin Barreto waiting in the minors.

      Barreto, who was acquired in the deal that sent Josh Donaldson to Toronto, is the team’s top prospect. He made a quick appearance last month, but struggled to find his footing. Despite his struggles Ryan Madson Jersey, however, the A’s still view Barreto as a crucial piece of the team’s future.

      Lowrie takes up a spot on the infield, so moving him will need to happen before Barreto is called back up to Oakland.

      A Return To Boston?

      While Lowrie has proved to be rather efficient this year, the A’s haven’t received any serious offers for the infielder. There might be plenty of interest, but the A’s are not going to just give Lowrie away for nothing.

      Beane has stated this month that the A’s will be focused on acquiring the best players in any potential trades. Beane is interested in stockpiling his farm system and Lowrie could help Beane replenish the team’s minor league talent.

      The A’s may have a trade partner in the Boston Red Sox. Returning to Boston would be a homecoming of sorts for Lowrie, who was drafted by Boston in 2005. Boston could slide Lowrie over to third base if they decide to make a run at him.

      What would be the A’s asking price for Lowrie? That remains a mystery http://www.athleticsfanaticsjersey.com/marc-rzepczynski-jersey-c-11.html, but Beane will likely look for promising young talent in return for Lowrie. At this point, Boston makes the most sense for Lowrie and the A’s.

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